Monday, August 3, 2009

CHENNAI’S REAL ESTATE MARKET – Hurdles To Optimum Growth

Ramesh Nair, Managing Director (Chennai), Jones Lang LaSalle Meghraj

Few cities in India have managed to maintain a more or less even keel in the recent market turbulences, but Chennai definitely numbers among them. Being an essentially conservative market, it has managed to maintain its inherent potential while many other cities showed some rather extreme variations.

Nevertheless, there is still potential for positive change, and quite a few come to mind while considering the roadblocks to further progress on Chennai’s real estate front.

ORGANIZED RETAIL

To begin with, organized retail space in Chennai is in short supply. The only additions scheduled to augment the current supply of full-fledged shopping centers (Spencers and City Centre) over the next one year will be Ampa Skywalk (450,000 sq.ft.) on Poonamallee High Road, Express Avenue (8 lakh sq. ft.) on Whites Road, Coromandel Plaza (250,000 sq. ft.) on the OMR and Spectrum Mall (1.2 lakh sq. ft.). in Perambur, North Chennai. All other supply will take at least two years.

The total incoming supply over the next year accounts for only about 1.5 millions square feet. Considering that all brands perceive Chennai as a high-potential market in terms of consumption given the high spending capacity, and that they are very bullish on expansion, this supply is indeed an inadequate trickle to fails to exploit Chennai’s fullest retail potential.

The city indubitably needs more organized retail. What stands between the current retail potential and vastly expanded one is the ongoing and seemingly chronic mismatch between developers’ lease rental expectations and the paying capacity of occupiers’ business models. This needs to be addressed by an open dialogue between developers and retailers about what works and what doesn’t in Chennai’s highly individualistic retail milieu. Until this happens, there will be no incentive for organized retail to make a bigger footprint in the city.

COMMERCIAL SPACES

In terms of Chennai’s commercial real estate sector, there is a huge oversupply of IT space. These projects cannot be reinvested into other formats, since the Government has stipulated a lock-in period of five years for projects built to the higher FSI allowances made for IT / ITES. Chennai’s developer lobby has made several representations to the State Government to have this lock-in period removed. For commercial real estate in Chennai to recover more decisively, this move should be put on fast track.

RESIDENTIAL SECTOR

Chennai’s residential sector was never a speculator’s market, and therefore, prices did not shoot up as much as in most other metropolitan cities in India. By that coin, the downward slide was not as severe either. Sales on a month-on-month basis are picking up, and affordable home projects have been announced by all developers. Since the manufacturing sector in Chennai is as fast-paced as ever, the demand for homes is bound to increase.

However, delivery of these projects is delayed because the granting of regulatory approvals takes too long in Chennai. Speeding up the process of granting project approvals would boost the city’s housing sector.

‘Most of the housing demand in Chennai comes from services industries such as IT/ITES. Close to 48% of the total non-working population in Chennai falls under the age bracket of 15–59. We foresee a large proportion of this nonworking population to graduate and commence working. This will lead to an increase in the number of double-income-no-kids (DINK) families in Chennai and will result in a rise in housing demand over the same period.’ (Affordable Housing In Chennai: Calibrating The Ticket Size – Real Estate Intelligence Services, Jones Lang LaSalle Meghraj).

MANUFACTURING

Finally, a thought on one of Chennai’s key growth areas – Sriperumbadur. This is a very important manufacturing location in Chennai. As an automobile hub, it already boasts of names like Nokia, Flextronics, Samsung, Dell and Hyundai. However, Sriperumbadur suffers from a lack of connectivity between its manufacturing nodes and also to the main city. The roads that exist are incapable of handling the demands of current traffic volumes.

This area has the capacity to be a major real estate driver for Chennai, but it needs proper Metro and road connectivity to integrate the manufacturing and hardware hubs to the main city and to each other. Providing this connectivity will also open up Sriperumbadur’s residential sector.

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